Above the $ 500 mark, why has Tesla’s stock price continued to soar?


Editor’s note: This article is from Huasheng Securities, author Jay, 36 氪 has been authorized to publish.After opening Monday, Tesla’s stock price continued its aggressive attack and quickly broke through the $ 500 mark after the opening.As of the close, Tesla’s stock price rose 9.77% to $ 524.86, a record high.Market source: Huasheng Securities Tesla’s recent stock price surge, or related to the recent sales of the company’s models.On January 7, 2020, Tesla CEO Elon Musk attended the delivery ceremony of Tesla’s domestic Model 3 in Shanghai and launched the China Model Y project at the same time.As a global leader in electric vehicles, why has Tesla’s stock price soared?In addition, what models does Tesla have and what is the expected performance in the future?The stock price has soared, or it may be related to the sales forecast of Model 3. List of Tesla’s main models. Tesla has released a total of 6 models, covering different positioning of coupe, SUV, sedan, pickup, supercar, etc. Among them, Model 3, ModelY and electric pickup Cybertruck are the hot models recently.In addition, Model 3 and Model Y, as the flagship models that will exert their strength in the Chinese market in the future, have already set off the market for the Tesla concept segment.Source: Tianfeng Securities Research Institute. In terms of models, although Tesla already has four models on sale, what really makes the market adjust Tesla’s performance expectations is mainly the popular models of popular cars Model 3.Image source: Open Network Model 3 was released in 2016 and began mass production in 2017. It is a B-class sedan in terms of positioning and has the characteristics of popularization.The entry-level Model 3 has a battery capacity of 60kwh, a cruising range of 445km, and an acceleration of 100 kilometers in only 5.6 seconds. In terms of product advantages, the Model 3 is equipped with Autopilot 2.0 fully automatic driving system, and its high-performance version accelerates in only 3.4 seconds.And has a fast charging function of 250km for 15 minutes.Source: Soochow Securities Model 3 as an explosion model, the real reason is that the price is low enough.On January 3, the domestic Tesla Model 3 lowered its price from 356,000 yuan to 324,000 yuan, added an electric vehicle purchase subsidy of 25,000 yuan, and reduced the on-hand price to 299,000 yuan, achieving 30 for BBA competing fuel models.Evaluation of ten thousand yuan.The Model 3’s significantly higher-than-expected price cut is also one of the important driving factors for Tesla’s expected rise.Source: CITIC Securities Research ’s sales forecast. With the completion of the Tesla China plant, Model 3 production capacity will reach 2500-3000 vehicles per week at the end of January; as production capacity gradually climbs, annual production capacity will reach 5,000 vehicles per year.Zhou, and it is expected that the Shanghai Tesla factory will deliver more than 150,000 Model 3s in the whole year of 2020.With the ramp-up of production capacity and the localization of parts and components, the global sales of Model 3 is expected to reach 400,000 units in 2020, and 480,000 units in 2021. The good sales prospects are expected to fully boost Tesla.This is one of the reasons why the stock price continues to reach a new high recently.The expected increase is also related to the potential growth of Model Y?In addition to Model 3, Tesla’s upcoming Model Y or the company’s subsequent growth momentum.Image source: Open Network On the launch day of the Model 3 delivery ceremony, Musk and Shanghai Mayor Ying Yong attended the launch ceremony of the Model Y project in the Chinese factory and officially announced the launch of the Model Y project in China.Image source: What kind of model is the open network Model Y?In terms of positioning, the Model Y is a compact SUV, and at the same time has the characteristics of being mass-friendly.The entry-level Model Y has a cruising range of 370 km, an acceleration of 100 kilometers in only 5.9 seconds, and a price of only 39,900 US dollars, which is equivalent to 266,000 yuan, which is enough for the people and the sci-fi configuration.It is expected to become the next explosion model following the Model 3.Source: In terms of production schedule and sales forecast of Soochow Securities, Model Y was released in March 2019, and it is expected that domestic and international mass production will be achieved simultaneously from June to August 2020.Due to the 75% -80% component overlap between Model Y and Model 3, Soochow Securities expects Model Y’s capacity climbing speed will be very efficient and is expected to become a best-selling model beyond Model 3.In terms of sales expectations, Soochow Securities expects 100,000 Model Y global sales in 2020 and 350,000 global sales in 2021.Source: Soochow Securities’ long-term view, Tesla’s intrinsic quality is the core reason for the stock price rise?In 2017, the founder of the car home, Li Xiang once said that “Tesla’s market value can reach 100 billion US dollars by 2020, and the highest value is 200 billion US dollars. Because, so far, you know what smart cars are and have the corresponding capabilities.Car brands, only Tesla. “Today, Li Xiang’s prediction has been verified.Image source: Open Network In the long run, a company with increasing internal value must not have obvious shortcomings in terms of R & D, sales, production, and capital operations.For Tesla, internal quality centered on strong research and development capabilities and sales capabilities, or a moat that guarantees the company’s continued growth.Can Tesla continue to win the market’s favor in the future?Let us look forward to the financial report data that Tesla will release on January 29, and see what kind of surprise Tesla will bring to the market..

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